Nottingham Forest vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
IPS
0 - 2
NTT
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
COV
0 - 0
NTT
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1978 |
NTT
1 - 0
QPR
68%
19%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
NTT
1 - 1
LEE
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1978 |
MAC
0 - 0
NTT
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
QPR
0 - 0
BIR
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
BIR
1 - 4
MAC
48%
25%
26%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
LEI
1 - 4
BIR
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1978 |
BIR
0 - 0
IPS
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
BIR
2 - 1
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |