Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
WOL
1 - 2
NTT
48%
23%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
NTT
5 - 2
SUN
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
LEI
3 - 2
NTT
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1964 |
NTT
2 - 2
CHL
48%
23%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1964 |
ARS
0 - 3
NTT
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
ASV
3 - 1
REA
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
ASV
2 - 0
FUL
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
MUD
7 - 0
ASV
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
ASV
0 - 1
WBA
41%
24%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1964 |
WHU
3 - 0
ASV
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |