Nottingen vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 5
NOT
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
NOT
2 - 1
NOR
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
VFR
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 3
NOT
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
NOT
3 - 0
OFF
71%
17%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ULM
2 - 0
KEH
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AST
1 - 2
ULM
21%
24%
54%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ULM
2 - 0
BON
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HOL
0 - 3
ULM
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ULM
0 - 0
REU
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |