Nottingen vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+125%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 3
BYM
5%
13%
82%
|
37 | 96 | 59 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
AST
4 - 2
NOT
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 2
FRE
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
HOM
0 - 0
NOT
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 2
WWO
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 0
PFU
75%
15%
9%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 2
SPI
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PFU
0 - 1
FRE
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
KEH
1 - 2
FRE
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 1
RAV
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |