Norwich City vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
IPS
0 - 1
NOR
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 1
BBU
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 0
WAT
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WOL
1 - 0
NOR
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 2
CEL
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SHE
1 - 0
CRA
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 3
BRA
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 0
SWI
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 0
IPS
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
CRA
52%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |