Norway U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
51.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
LVA
0 - 1
NOR
8%
15%
77%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
DEN
3 - 3
NOR
65%
19%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 0
SMR
88%
9%
4%
|
63 | 12 | 51 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
NED
1 - 2
NOR
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
NOR
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
ITA
7 - 0
SMR
87%
11%
3%
|
77 | 17 | 60 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 1
TUR
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 0
LVA
83%
13%
5%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
IRL
2 - 2
ITA
16%
22%
63%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 7
ITA
5%
13%
82%
|
77 | 13 | 64 | 0 |