Northampton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
NOR
0 - 0
LIV
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
ASV
1 - 2
NOR
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1966 |
NOR
2 - 2
LEI
28%
23%
49%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
SHW
3 - 1
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
NOR
3 - 3
NTT
33%
26%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
STO
2 - 0
ASV
55%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 0
STO
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1966 |
SHW
4 - 1
STO
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1966 |
STO
2 - 0
SHE
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
NTT
4 - 3
STO
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |