Northampton vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
TRA
4 - 0
NOR
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 3
STO
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
POR
3 - 2
NOR
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 2
WIG
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
BRE
3 - 0
NOR
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
SWI
2 - 0
PLY
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
PLY
3 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
STO
2 - 1
PLY
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
PLY
0 - 0
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
WIG
0 - 1
PLY
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |