Northampton vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 2
DAG
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 2
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
STA
1 - 1
NOR
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
NEW
4 - 1
NOR
80%
15%
6%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 2
PLY
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 1
OXF
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
OXF
2 - 0
YEO
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
SHW
1 - 0
OXF
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
OXF
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
OXF
3 - 1
NOT
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |