Northampton vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
STO
4 - 2
NOR
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
NOR
5 - 2
NOT
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 0
OXF
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
BRO
0 - 0
NOR
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
NOR
0 - 0
DAR
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
GRI
0 - 1
NEW
13%
21%
66%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
GRI
0 - 1
LEY
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
GRI
1 - 1
MOR
44%
25%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 3
GRI
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
GRI
0 - 1
WYC
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |