Northampton vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 4
DER
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
NOR
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
GIL
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
NOR
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 1
NOR
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 1
NEW
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 2
CAR
12%
20%
69%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 4
CAR
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
WHU
3 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
WHU
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |