North Wellington AFC vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
77.5%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
11%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
10º
9º
24
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
NWA
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
NWA
0 - 2
WKA
14%
16%
70%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 3
NAP
8%
12%
81%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STO
3 - 1
NWA
84%
10%
6%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PET
3 - 0
NWA
84%
10%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 2
PET
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 0
WEL
30%
20%
50%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 2
WEL
84%
11%
6%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
PET
86%
9%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 4
WEL
50%
20%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |