North Wellington AFC vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
77.8%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.3%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
10º
9º
21
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
NWA
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
WSU
2 - 0
NWA
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NMF
0 - 1
NWA
13%
15%
73%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
NAP
3 - 1
NWA
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
NWA
3 - 3
STO
39%
21%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
MIR
73%
16%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 7
WEL
17%
18%
65%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MIR
4 - 4
STO
80%
12%
8%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
WAF
0 - 2
MIR
3%
8%
89%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MIR
3 - 4
WKA
83%
10%
7%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |