North Texas vs St. Louis II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
COR
4 - 2
NOT
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 1
MON
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 1
MIN
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 0
NOT
6%
16%
78%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 4
VAN
77%
15%
7%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
St. Louis II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
STL
2 - 1
VAN
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
COR
0 - 0
STL
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 0
STL
6%
14%
81%
|
56 | 12 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
STL
1 - 3
HOU
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
STL
1 - 3
MIN
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |