Noroeste vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
64.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
OES
4 - 0
NOR
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 2
GRÊ
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 0
PPE
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
NOR
48%
24%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAN
81%
14%
6%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
MIR
79%
15%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
12%
21%
67%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
3 - 2
SAO
14%
23%
63%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |