Cup Paulista Fase de Grupos round 7

Noroeste vs Botafogo SP B analysis

Noroeste Botafogo SP B
52 ELO 49
-16.4% Tilt -15.7%
2712º General ELO ranking 4668º
78º Country ELO ranking 158º
ELO win probability
37.4%
Noroeste
23.7%
Draw
38.9%
Botafogo SP B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
Noroeste
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.9%
Win probability
Botafogo SP B
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Noroeste
+2%
-15%
Botafogo SP B

ELO progression

Noroeste
Botafogo SP B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Noroeste
Noroeste
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2022
MAR
Marília
3 - 2
Noroeste
NOR
48%
26%
26%
51 54 3 0
30 Jul. 2022
COM
Comercial
3 - 3
Noroeste
NOR
48%
27%
26%
51 53 2 0
23 Jul. 2022
NOR
Noroeste
1 - 2
Sertãozinho
SER
59%
24%
18%
52 43 9 -1
12 Jul. 2022
BSP
Botafogo SP B
3 - 1
Noroeste
NOR
38%
24%
38%
53 49 4 -1
02 Jul. 2022
NOR
Noroeste
0 - 2
Marília
MAR
53%
26%
22%
55 49 6 -2

Matches

Botafogo SP B
Botafogo SP B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2022
MAR
Marília
3 - 1
Botafogo SP B
BSP
41%
24%
36%
52 53 1 0
27 Jul. 2022
BSP
Botafogo SP B
1 - 0
Comercial
COM
39%
24%
38%
51 53 2 +1
20 Jul. 2022
SER
Sertãozinho
0 - 1
Botafogo SP B
BSP
22%
22%
55%
50 43 7 +1
12 Jul. 2022
BSP
Botafogo SP B
3 - 1
Noroeste
NOR
38%
24%
38%
49 53 4 +1
14 Nov. 2021
SAO
São Bernardo FC
2 - 0
Botafogo SP B
BSP
52%
23%
25%
50 57 7 -1