Oberliga Baden-Württemberg round 28

Normannia Gmünd vs Ulm analysis

Normannia Gmünd Ulm
25 ELO 44
16.7% Tilt -2.1%
8793º General ELO ranking 1003º
375º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
19.3%
Normannia Gmünd
23.1%
Draw
57.6%
Ulm

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
Normannia Gmünd
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.6%
Win probability
Ulm
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Normannia Gmünd
-39%
+59%
Ulm

ELO progression

Normannia Gmünd
Ulm
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Normannia Gmünd
Normannia Gmünd
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2012
NEC
SpVgg Neckarelz
2 - 1
Normannia Gmünd
NOR
70%
18%
12%
24 36 12 0
05 Apr. 2012
NOR
Normannia Gmünd
1 - 0
Kehler FV
KEH
43%
24%
33%
23 28 5 +1
31 Mar. 2012
NOR
Normannia Gmünd
1 - 0
Offenburger FV
OFF
50%
22%
28%
23 25 2 0
24 Mar. 2012
NOR
Normannia Gmünd
2 - 2
Bahlinger SC
BAH
43%
25%
33%
22 27 5 +1
17 Mar. 2012
VFR
VfR Mannheim
2 - 0
Normannia Gmünd
NOR
73%
17%
10%
23 35 12 -1

Matches

Ulm
Ulm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2012
STU
Stuttgarter Kickers II
1 - 0
Ulm
ULM
15%
23%
62%
46 25 21 0
14 Apr. 2012
ULM
Ulm
2 - 0
Bahlinger SC
BAH
78%
15%
7%
46 28 18 0
05 Apr. 2012
ULM
Ulm
2 - 1
Illertissen
ILL
75%
16%
9%
46 30 16 0
01 Apr. 2012
VFR
VfR Mannheim
1 - 1
Ulm
ULM
25%
25%
50%
46 35 11 0
24 Mar. 2012
ULM
Ulm
2 - 0
FC 08 Villingen
VIL
77%
15%
8%
46 31 15 0