Merani Tbilisi vs Kolkheti Poti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
70.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
10º
10º
77
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 1
NOR
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
GAR
12%
19%
69%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
LOK
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 3
MER
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kolkheti Poti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 0
KOL
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 0
WIT
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 1
GAR
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
KOL
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 0
SPA
46%
24%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |