Nõmme United vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
10º
10º
52
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 72 |
2º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 70 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 69 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 40 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 33 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 32 |
9º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 25 |
10º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 2% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 75% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 23% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
79% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
NOM
28%
23%
49%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 1
NOM
27%
23%
50%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 1
FLO
28%
24%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 6
LEV
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
KUR
1 - 1
NOM
36%
23%
41%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
KAL
21%
26%
53%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
4 - 2
PAR
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
KAL
19%
26%
55%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 0
TAL
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 0
FLO
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |