Nõmme United vs FC Flora Tallin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
7º
1º
69
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NOM
3 - 0
TAB
63%
20%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 2
NOM
20%
20%
60%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 2
PAI
76%
15%
10%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TJK
0 - 6
NOM
16%
18%
66%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 2
FCT
64%
20%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Flora Tallin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 2
FLO
49%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 1
VJK
54%
22%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 1
FCE
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 1
FLO
33%
24%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
TAB
0 - 1
FLO
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |