Nomme Kalju vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
3º
2º
35
6º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
KAL
19%
26%
55%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 0
TAL
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 0
FLO
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TRA
4 - 1
KAL
17%
26%
57%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 1
NOM
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
TAL
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
PAR
81%
14%
6%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 4
TRA
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 1
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
KUR
2 - 2
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |