Esiliiga B round 5

Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco analysis

Nõmme Kalju II Tartu Welco
27 ELO 47
18% Tilt 18.5%
4565º General ELO ranking 2176º
29º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
14.2%
Nõmme Kalju II
19.9%
Draw
65.9%
Tartu Welco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
Nõmme Kalju II
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
65.9%
Win probability
Tartu Welco
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nõmme Kalju II
+62%
-5%
Tartu Welco

ELO progression

Nõmme Kalju II
Tartu Welco
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nõmme Kalju II
Nõmme Kalju II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2023
TAM
Tammeka II
1 - 6
Nõmme Kalju II
NOM
74%
15%
11%
27 43 16 0
29 Jan. 2023
LAH
Läänemaa Haapsalu
2 - 1
Nõmme Kalju II
NOM
60%
19%
21%
27 32 5 0
13 Nov. 2022
NOM
Nõmme Kalju II
0 - 1
TJK Legion II
TJK
28%
20%
52%
29 36 7 -2
05 Nov. 2022
LAH
Läänemaa Haapsalu
1 - 1
Nõmme Kalju II
NOM
65%
17%
18%
28 33 5 +1
30 Oct. 2022
NOM
Nõmme Kalju II
3 - 7
Tabasalu Charma
TAB
8%
15%
77%
29 53 24 -1

Matches

Tartu Welco
Tartu Welco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2023
TUL
Tulevik Viljandi
0 - 1
Tartu Welco
WEL
37%
24%
40%
46 41 5 0
13 Mar. 2023
WEL
Tartu Welco
4 - 4
Tallinna Kalev II
TKA
41%
24%
35%
45 47 2 +1
09 Mar. 2023
LAH
Läänemaa Haapsalu
4 - 1
Tartu Welco
WEL
19%
21%
60%
47 33 14 -2
19 Feb. 2023
WEL
Tartu Welco
2 - 6
Tammeka
TAM
20%
21%
59%
47 57 10 0
28 Jan. 2023
WEL
Tartu Welco
4 - 2
FC Tallinn
FCT
18%
20%
63%
47 57 10 0