Nocerina vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
BEN
0 - 0
NOC
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
NOC
0 - 1
CRO
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
GIU
2 - 1
NOC
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
NOC
4 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1999 |
AVE
0 - 1
NOC
63%
23%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
ASC
2 - 1
JUS
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASC
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
2 - 3
ASC
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ASC
1 - 1
GIU
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
LOD
1 - 1
ASC
18%
24%
59%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |