NK Tolmin vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
57.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
16º
16º
32
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 60 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 53 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 51 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 46 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 45 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 42 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 37 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 36 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 35 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 31 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 29 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 28 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 27 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 26 |
16º
|
24.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 54% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 21% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 25% |
|
Relegation
|
46% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ILI
1 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ADR
1 - 3
TOL
20%
21%
60%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
ALU
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
DEK
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 1
BIL
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 0
KRK
63%
21%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BIL
2 - 2
GOR
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 0
GOR
31%
26%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 6
GOR
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |