3. NL Croatia Sur Jor. 27

NK Omiš vs HNK Zadar analysis

NK Omiš HNK Zadar
34 ELO 51
-1.5% Tilt -7.9%
8354º General ELO ranking 4263º
84º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
22.4%
NK Omiš
23.5%
Draw
54.1%
HNK Zadar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
NK Omiš
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.1%
Win probability
HNK Zadar
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NK Omiš
-12%
+53%
HNK Zadar

Points and table prediction

NK Omiš
Their league position
HNK Zadar
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
10º
68
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
HNK Zadar
68
71
100%
Zagora Unešić
64
67
100%
Junak Sinj
54
57
100%
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
47
50
100%
Kaštel Gomilica
46
46
100%
Neretva
39
42
62.5%
NK Uskok Klis
41
41
47%
NK Omiš
40
41
45.5%
Primorac Biograd
37
37
74.5%
Neretvanac
10º
36
36
10º
54.5%
Vodice
11º
34
35
11º
42%
Sloga Mravince
12º
33
34
12º
55.5%
GOŠK DBK
13º
31
32
13º
68.5%
NK Kamen
14º
30
30
14º
82.5%
Split
15º
27
28
15º
95%
Zmaj Makarska
16º
21
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
NK Omiš
HNK Zadar
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

NK Omiš
HNK Zadar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NK Omiš
NK Omiš
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2024
NKH
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
1 - 0
NK Omiš
OMI
49%
22%
29%
35 36 1 0
20 Apr. 2024
OMI
NK Omiš
2 - 1
GOŠK DBK
GOS
56%
21%
23%
34 33 1 +1
17 Apr. 2024
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
0 - 0
NK Omiš
OMI
31%
23%
47%
34 28 6 0
13 Apr. 2024
OMI
NK Omiš
3 - 1
Primorac Biograd
PRB
38%
22%
40%
32 37 5 +2
06 Apr. 2024
JUN
Junak Sinj
3 - 0
NK Omiš
OMI
67%
19%
14%
33 44 11 -1

Matches

HNK Zadar
HNK Zadar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2024
ZAG
Zagora Unešić
1 - 2
HNK Zadar
HNK
50%
23%
27%
50 50 0 0
20 Apr. 2024
HNK
HNK Zadar
5 - 0
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
NKH
71%
17%
12%
50 37 13 0
17 Apr. 2024
GOS
GOŠK DBK
0 - 3
HNK Zadar
HNK
18%
24%
59%
49 33 16 +1
13 Apr. 2024
HNK
HNK Zadar
6 - 0
Zmaj Makarska
MAK
78%
14%
8%
49 28 21 0
06 Apr. 2024
PRB
Primorac Biograd
2 - 2
HNK Zadar
HNK
24%
24%
51%
49 35 14 0
X