NK Jarun vs NK Dugopolje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
11º
5º
37
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
NKR
2 - 1
NKJ
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
NKJ
2 - 0
HNK
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 1
NKJ
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
NKJ
0 - 1
ZRI
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
NKJ
0 - 3
HNS
22%
26%
52%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
NK Dugopolje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NKD
1 - 2
DUB
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ZMI
4 - 1
NKD
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NKD
1 - 1
BIJ
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NKD
1 - 1
NKR
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NKD
4 - 0
HNK
41%
27%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |