NJS vs PEPO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
8º
6º
28
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
65.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
34.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NJS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 2
NJS
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
NJS
0 - 0
PPJ
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
NJS
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
NJS
0 - 1
FUT
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 2
NJS
56%
23%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
3 - 2
FUT
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
1 - 5
KUO
9%
17%
74%
|
41 | 76 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
0 - 1
GRI
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
1 - 0
JBK
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 2
PEP
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |