Nizhny Novgorod Reservas vs Sochi Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
59.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
9º
8º
11
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nizhny Novgorod Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 1
NIZ
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
NIZ
0 - 0
TER
28%
22%
51%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 2
NIZ
62%
19%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ORE
4 - 0
NIZ
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
NIZ
1 - 0
KSS
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sochi Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 2
KSS
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
UMO
1 - 1
SCH
13%
17%
70%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 2
TOR
58%
20%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 1
FRE
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 2
ROS
18%
22%
59%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |