UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Nitra vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nitra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
FKN
2 - 0
NIT
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
NIT
3 - 0
TRE
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
KOS
1 - 2
NIT
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2008 |
NIT
1 - 0
RUZ
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
SBR
3 - 2
NIT
49%
26%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
FKN
2 - 0
NIT
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
FKN
3 - 0
BAR
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
FKQ
0 - 0
FKN
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
FKN
0 - 1
KHA
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
KAR
0 - 1
FKN
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |