Nismes vs Royal Arquet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nismes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 0
NIS
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NIS
3 - 1
PES
75%
15%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ONH
8 - 1
NIS
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 4
NIS
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
NIS
26%
21%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Royal Arquet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ARQ
1 - 1
BEA
75%
14%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 0
ARQ
62%
18%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PES
0 - 0
ARQ
46%
21%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ARQ
0 - 3
AIS
28%
20%
52%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
WEP
0 - 3
ARQ
62%
19%
20%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |