Ninove vs Heist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
9º
15
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 57 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 53 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 52 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 46 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 46 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 35 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 28 |
14º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 38% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 62% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ninove
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
KNO
3 - 0
NIN
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
HOO
2 - 0
NIN
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
NIN
3 - 3
LYR
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CER
1 - 2
NIN
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NIN
4 - 0
CAP
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
HEI
1 - 0
TIE
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 3
HEI
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
HEI
1 - 2
MER
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 1
HEI
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
OHL
1 - 1
HEI
47%
23%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |