Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Ağrı Spor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
62.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1427%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
11º
11º
16
6º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 62 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 62 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 60 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 50 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 48 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 44 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 39 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 39 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 38 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 32 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 29 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 27 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
11% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 57% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bursa Nilüfer FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BUY
0 - 0
NBF
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NBF
1 - 1
TAL
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
NBF
2 - 3
ANK
5%
14%
81%
|
21 | 83 | 62 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
POL
3 - 4
NBF
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NBF
1 - 0
EDI
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +3 |
Matches
Ağrı Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ASP
2 - 1
BER
47%
28%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NBS
1 - 5
ASP
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 1
BYC
8%
14%
79%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 0
ORD
13%
21%
66%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MBB
2 - 0
ASP
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |