Niger vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
NIG
2 - 6
MAD
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CIV
1 - 0
NIG
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CIV
1 - 0
NIG
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
NIG
2 - 0
CIV
14%
22%
63%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIG
78%
16%
6%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
MTN
2 - 1
SLE
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
SLE
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
SLE
1 - 1
LSO
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SLE
1 - 0
LBR
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
LBR
3 - 1
SLE
24%
22%
54%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |