Nice vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
NAN
1 - 1
NIC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1976 |
NIC
1 - 0
LYO
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIC
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1976 |
NIC
5 - 2
TRO
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1976 |
ASN
2 - 0
NIC
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
STR
3 - 0
LIL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1976 |
PSG
0 - 0
STR
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
STR
2 - 0
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1976 |
ASA
1 - 0
STR
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1976 |
STR
0 - 2
ASS
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |