Nice vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1979 |
SOC
2 - 1
NIC
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
PSG
2 - 2
NIC
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
NIC
0 - 3
MAR
61%
21%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
MON
2 - 1
NIC
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
NIC
4 - 2
MET
55%
23%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1979 |
BRE
2 - 2
NÎM
39%
28%
32%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
VAL
2 - 1
BRE
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
BRE
0 - 1
ANG
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
STR
2 - 1
BRE
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEN
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |