Nice vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
GIR
3 - 1
NIC
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
NIC
2 - 3
AJA
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
NIC
0 - 1
REN
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
REI
1 - 1
NIC
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1970 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAS
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
RED
1 - 5
REN
46%
24%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1970 |
LYO
2 - 1
RED
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
RED
0 - 0
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
BAS
2 - 1
RED
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1970 |
RED
2 - 1
REI
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |