Nice vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
NIC
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIC
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 0
ASS
39%
29%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 3
NIC
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 2
REN
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
AVR
1 - 0
LOR
18%
22%
61%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 2
NAN
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 1
ASS
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
3 - 1
MET
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
GIR
3 - 2
LOR
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |