Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
37.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 1
NIC
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
NIC
3 - 0
TRO
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
NIC
2 - 1
GIR
32%
29%
39%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
LYO
1 - 1
NIC
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
NIC
0 - 1
TFC
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
LIL
0 - 1
MUD
21%
26%
54%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
LIL
1 - 2
LYO
34%
27%
39%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
TFC
1 - 0
LIL
29%
29%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
LIL
0 - 0
NAN
61%
23%
16%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
NAN
1 - 0
LIL
32%
30%
39%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |