Nice vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
LHA
2 - 1
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
NIC
0 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
MAR
2 - 0
NIC
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
NIC
1 - 0
AUX
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1987 |
MET
2 - 0
NIC
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
NIO
3 - 0
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
LIL
0 - 1
NIO
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
NIO
2 - 1
SPO
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
GIR
1 - 0
NIO
88%
8%
4%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
NIO
2 - 0
CAN
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |