Nice vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 0
AUX
30%
29%
41%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
LEN
2 - 2
NIC
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
NIC
0 - 1
MAR
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
MON
0 - 0
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 0
LMU
45%
28%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
GUI
0 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 0
SÈT
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2005 |
LOR
2 - 1
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
CHA
4 - 3
IST
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
STL
1 - 1
CHA
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |