Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 0
NIC
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1978 |
NIC
2 - 1
SOC
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1978 |
GIR
2 - 0
NIC
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
NAN
5 - 0
NIC
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1978 |
NIC
1 - 1
ASS
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 1
GIR
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1978 |
PFC
1 - 1
BAS
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 3
MET
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
LIL
2 - 2
BAS
42%
26%
33%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 0
NÎM
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |