Nice vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
LUS
0 - 0
NIC
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
NÎM
1 - 1
NIC
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
NIC
2 - 2
STL
43%
30%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2000 |
GUI
5 - 0
NIC
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
NIC
0 - 1
SED
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
AJA
2 - 1
NÎM
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
STL
1 - 0
AJA
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
AJA
1 - 0
GUI
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
AMI
0 - 1
AJA
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 1
LIL
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |