Nice II vs Athlético Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
76.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CBL
0 - 1
NIC
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 2
AUB
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GEM
1 - 1
NIC
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 1
FUR
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ILE
0 - 2
NIC
13%
18%
70%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
AUB
0 - 3
CON
18%
21%
60%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CON
4 - 2
FUR
77%
15%
9%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CAN
3 - 0
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
EUA
0 - 3
CON
5%
12%
83%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |