Nicaragua vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
70.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
CUB
1 - 1
NIC
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GUF
0 - 1
NIC
38%
23%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
BLZ
0 - 4
NIC
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
NIC
4 - 1
MSR
61%
22%
18%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
GTM
1 - 1
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
HND
1 - 2
JAM
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JAM
0 - 0
CUB
74%
17%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
JAM
0 - 3
VEN
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
3 - 1
JAM
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MEX
1 - 0
JAM
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |