Nicaragua vs Bahamas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
BHS
0 - 2
NIC
15%
18%
67%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
VCT
2 - 2
NIC
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NIC
2 - 1
TTO
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 1
BLZ
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 0
BLZ
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bahamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
BHS
0 - 2
NIC
15%
18%
67%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
TTO
1 - 0
BHS
82%
12%
7%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
BHS
1 - 0
VCT
25%
20%
55%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
BHS
4 - 2
TCA
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
GLP
2 - 0
BHS
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |