Welsh Premier League Temporada Regular round 15

Newtown vs Llandudno FC analysis

Newtown Llandudno FC
60 ELO 55
10.9% Tilt 14.5%
1716º General ELO ranking 6493º
10º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
63.6%
Newtown
20.8%
Draw
15.6%
Llandudno FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
Newtown
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.6%
Win probability
Llandudno FC
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Newtown
-30%
+8%
Llandudno FC

ELO progression

Newtown
Llandudno FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Newtown
Newtown
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2015
HAV
Haverfordwest County
0 - 1
Newtown
NEW
19%
23%
58%
60 48 12 0
31 Oct. 2015
NEW
Newtown
4 - 2
Connah's Quay
CON
50%
24%
26%
59 56 3 +1
24 Oct. 2015
NEW
Newtown
0 - 3
Bangor City
BAN
55%
23%
22%
60 55 5 -1
16 Oct. 2015
BAL
Bala Town
1 - 0
Newtown
NEW
55%
23%
22%
59 67 8 +1
10 Oct. 2015
NEW
Newtown
0 - 0
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
42%
24%
34%
59 60 1 0

Matches

Llandudno FC
Llandudno FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2015
LLA
Llandudno FC
3 - 4
The New Saints
TNS
21%
24%
54%
53 67 14 0
30 Oct. 2015
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
1 - 4
Llandudno FC
LLA
73%
17%
10%
50 62 12 +3
24 Oct. 2015
LLA
Llandudno FC
1 - 2
Carmarthen Town
CAR
29%
25%
46%
50 57 7 0
16 Oct. 2015
AIR
Airbus UK
0 - 2
Llandudno FC
LLA
76%
16%
8%
47 64 17 +3
10 Oct. 2015
LLA
Llandudno FC
0 - 0
Bala Town
BAL
14%
21%
64%
47 67 20 0