Newtown vs Llandudno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 1
NEW
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
4 - 2
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 3
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 0
ABE
42%
24%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Llandudno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LLA
3 - 4
TNS
21%
24%
54%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 4
LLA
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +3 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAR
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
AIR
0 - 2
LLA
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 0
BAL
14%
21%
64%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |