Newtown vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
TNS
3 - 1
NEW
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
6 - 1
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 2
TNS
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AIR
1 - 0
NEW
66%
19%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 1
RHY
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AIR
0 - 1
BAN
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAN
30%
25%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
RHY
1 - 1
BAN
42%
24%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TNS
4 - 1
BAN
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 0
NEW
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |