Newtown vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
9º
9º
28
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 47 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 35 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 32 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 32 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 32 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 27 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 23 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 21 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 18 |
11º
|
40% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 17 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 62.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 0
NEW
4%
9%
87%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 4
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 4
FLI
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
BAL
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 1
LLA
83%
13%
5%
|
66 | 19 | 47 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FLI
2 - 2
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
HAV
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |