Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 2
NEW
56%
22%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 1
LID
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
7%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 4
NEA
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 1
NEA
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 0
ABE
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 2
ABE
87%
10%
4%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
LID
0 - 0
ABE
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 3
PRE
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |