Newry City vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 2
NEW
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BMF
1 - 6
NEW
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
GLE
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 1
NEW
33%
23%
44%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
BAL
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 1
DCC
89%
8%
2%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
CLI
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 2
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |